Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000153 0.000169 0.000186 0.000206 0.000229 0.000253 0.000282
2025-09-07 0.000123 0.000146 0.000173 0.000207 0.000248 0.000297 0.000360
2025-09-14 0.000106 0.000133 0.000167 0.000211 0.000269 0.000343 0.000444
2025-09-21 0.000091 0.000120 0.000156 0.000207 0.000277 0.000371 0.000508
2025-09-28 0.000079 0.000107 0.000145 0.000199 0.000278 0.000388 0.000557
2025-10-05 0.000072 0.000101 0.000141 0.000202 0.000292 0.000425 0.000639
2025-10-12 0.000068 0.000098 0.000140 0.000207 0.000311 0.000469 0.000735
2025-10-19 0.000062 0.000091 0.000134 0.000204 0.000316 0.000492 0.000802
2025-10-26 0.000058 0.000087 0.000132 0.000206 0.000329 0.000531 0.000898
2025-11-02 0.000053 0.000083 0.000128 0.000204 0.000335 0.000556 0.000974
2025-11-09 0.000050 0.000079 0.000124 0.000204 0.000344 0.000588 0.001064
2025-11-16 0.000047 0.000075 0.000120 0.000201 0.000348 0.000611 0.001142
2025-11-23 0.000042 0.000069 0.000113 0.000194 0.000344 0.000621 0.001200
2025-11-30 0.000040 0.000066 0.000111 0.000195 0.000354 0.000658 0.001317
2025-12-07 0.000038 0.000065 0.000111 0.000199 0.000371 0.000711 0.001475
2025-12-14 0.000035 0.000061 0.000106 0.000195 0.000373 0.000733 0.001571
2025-12-21 0.000032 0.000057 0.000100 0.000188 0.000367 0.000738 0.001627
2025-12-28 0.000031 0.000055 0.000100 0.000190 0.000381 0.000787 0.001795
2026-01-04 0.000030 0.000055 0.000100 0.000195 0.000400 0.000850 0.002006
2026-01-11 0.000028 0.000052 0.000097 0.000192 0.000402 0.000875 0.002127
2026-01-18 0.000027 0.000051 0.000096 0.000194 0.000416 0.000930 0.002335
2026-01-25 0.000026 0.000049 0.000093 0.000192 0.000420 0.000960 0.002480
2026-02-01 0.000025 0.000047 0.000092 0.000192 0.000428 0.001003 0.002668